Support the St. Louis Blues to keep rolling
Every NHL team has now played at least four games as we enter week three of the regular season. Some teams that were to finish at the bottom of the standings like Buffalo, Detroit and Columbus got off to a great start. Other teams scheduled to compete for the Cup, such as Vegas, Colorado and Toronto struggled.
It is still far too early to overreact, but always keep track of the performance of the teams. I think we’re still around 2-3 weeks away from having enough data to draw meaningful conclusions, but sports betting is always about being one step ahead. Let’s take a look at a few NHL lines for Monday’s seven-game roster. at BetMGM.
Dog of the day
Assessment since the beginning of the year: 5-2-0
Units since the beginning of the year: +4.65 units
The St. Louis Blues started their season winning their first four games, scoring 22 goals in the process while allowing just 11. They have won each game by at least two goals.
On the other hand, the Los Angeles Kings have not won since their first game of the season, losing four times in a row. They have only scored 8 goals during that span.
Those teams played on Saturday, with the Blues claiming a 7-3 victory at home. It was Los Angeles’ first game without star defenseman Drew Doughty, who injured his knee in the Kings previous game.
Although I obviously don’t expect the Blues to run the gauntlet and finish 82-0, they are a very solid team. I don’t have similar expectations for the Kings who should end the season near the bottom of the standings. It is also a good place to schedule appointments for St. Louis. The Blues are in the middle of a home game as Los Angeles plays its third game in four nights and completes a 4-game road trip.
The Blues also have a big advantage when it comes to special teams. The Blues have the league’s second-best power play to start the season, while Los Angeles have the second-worst penalty kick.
Both teams are expected to start their alternate goaltender in this game, with Ville Husso making his season debut for the Blues against the Kings’ Jonathan Quick.
Rest of the slate
Tampa Bay @ Buffalo: Lightning are -175 favorites on the road based on the pre-season reputation of these teams. However, with the hot start for Buffalo and Andrei Vasilevskiy taking time off for the Lightning, I don’t mind shooting the underdog at home here. Tampa Bay has been pretty poor to start the season.
Toronto @ Caroline: The Hurricanes have a 4-0 start and the city of Toronto is in turmoil with the 2-3-1 start of the Maple Leafs, but the Hurricanes are only -115 favorites at home. If you don’t believe in the pitfalls of betting, Carolina is clearly the side to support here. I’m tired of Toronto coming out of its slump, but I stay away.
Dallas @ Columbus: The Blue Jackets have a surprising 3-2 start, but they are still +105 underdogs at home against Dallas. Dallas struggled to score, scoring just 10 goals in their first five games. I would lean towards less than 5.5 goals herebecause Braden Holtby and Elvis Merzlikins were great to start the season.
Arizona @ Florida: Our first -400 favorite of the season these are the Florida Panthers. I will say it loud and clear for everyone: never fold -400 in this stupid, random, frustrating beautiful sport. Florida could score 10 against Carter Hutton, but don’t put the juice on it.
Calgary @ New York Rangers: Rangers have a very impressive 4-1-1 start and they deserve -145 favorites on their rink against Calgary. The Flames are a solid team, but that line feels fair enough and I don’t see a lot of value on either side.
Washington @ Ottawa: The Senators were +140 favorites earlier in the day, but at the current moneyline price of +125, it looks like the value on Ottawa is gone. Washington wins this game most of the time, but I’m not putting -155 on the road here.
Alternate goaltenders are in bold.
Tampa Bay Lightning (Brian Elliott) @ Buffalo Sabers (Craig Anderson)
Washington Capitals (Ilya Samsonov) @ Ottawa Senators (Anton Forsberg)
Arizona Coyotes (Carter Hutton) @ Florida Panthers (Spencer’s Knight)
Calgary Flames (Jacob Markstrom) @ New York Rangers (Unknown)
Toronto Maple Leafs (Jack Campbell) @ Carolina Hurricanes (Frederik Andersen)
Dallas Stars (Braden Holtby) @ Columbus Blue Jackets (Elvis Merzlikins)
Kings of Los Angeles (Jonathan Rapide) @ St. Louis Blues (City Husso)